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- 📈 Next Week’s Trends: The Week Ahead 12/09/2024
📈 Next Week’s Trends: The Week Ahead 12/09/2024
Will We See a Santa Rally This Year?
John Kiritsis
December 09, 2024
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Seasonal Trends
Symbol | Trend History | Start Date | End Date | Average % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
AVGO | Up 13 of the past 15 years | 11-25 | 12-24 | +7.39% |
AMC | Down 10 of the last 10 years | 11-29 | 12-30 | -16.89% |
GGAL | Up 9 out of 10 past years | 11-28 | 12-27 | +7.75% |
AEM | Up 9 out of 10 past years | 12-06 | 1-06 | +7.18% |
KMI | Up 11 of the past 13 years | 12-09 | 1-07 | +4.62% |
QUAD | Up 9 out of 10 past years | 12-06 | 1-06 | +8.29% |
ATSG | Up 9 out of 10 past years | 12-12 | 12-27 | +6.51% |
GPRK | Up 9 out of 10 past years | 12-12 | 1-10 | +5.83% |
TPB | Up 7 out of 8 past years | 12-14 | 1-13 | +6.59% |
LOVE | Up 6 out of 6 past years | 12-16 | 12-24 | +8.41% |
The Historical Ebb and Flow of the Market For December
December Historical Briefing
December is warnings season. Expect a market pull back from profit taking to continue from November (post Thanksgiving) until sometime between the 5th and the 8th of December. December can be a good month (known as the “Santa Claus Effect” when it is). Market can be choppy. Look for buy entry points between the 15th and 22nd. The markets frequently suffer a “Christmas hangover” (downside weakness) to the end of the month. Look for entry points the last 2 or 3 days of the month.
December Historical Biases
Look for a post Thanksgiving pullback.
Around 5-8th upside bias up through Christmas .
Typically, around the 5th-8th of December sees good movement if the markets or individual stocks have been basically flat or slightly down since Thanksgiving.
After Christmas to the 28-29th, downside bias. 29th into Jan, Upside Bias.
The last few days of December and first few days of January usually can be very volatile and can offer good opportunities.
Fall/Winter Seasonal Briefing (October - January)
This season tends to see strong directional movement in the market, often favoring the upside. While some years have been dominated by downward trends, the majority historically lean toward longer and more sustained upward momentum. During this period, it’s generally more effective to trade in line with the overall market direction, as these trends often last longer and provide stronger returns than in other times of the year. Counter-trend trades are typically less successful and are best avoided.
Happy Trading,
Next Weeks Trends
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