NextWeeksTrends Update

October Earnings & Seasonal Trends Update

Notes on October

Shark Tank Writing GIF

Now that we are in the second half of October, there are a few things we still need to be aware of.

Historically, October can be a volatile month in the markets. Many major crashes have occurred in October, so it’s important to be cautious. However, the last few days of October and the first few days of November often present great buying opportunities for long investments or trades to the upside.

Special Notes on October in an Election Year

Historically, in an election year, U.S. markets in October have declined by 5% or more 100% of the time. So far, we haven’t seen a significant pullback this month. It will be interesting to see if this trend continues.

If we don’t see a pullback before the election, we might expect one in November.

Bugs Bunny Money GIF by Looney Tunes

Symbol

Before Earnings

Average %

History

Earnings Date

V

20 Days

+1.08%

Up 13 out of 16 years

10-29-24

BKNG

20 Days

-2.00%

Down 5 out of 6 years

10-30-24

WYNN

11 Days

+6.43%

Up 17 out of 20 years

11-07-24

Symbol

Trend History

Start Date

End Date

Average %

NVDA

Up 9 out of 10 past years

10-08

11-05

+10.21%

MSTR

Up 9 out of 10 past years

10-10

11-07

+10.23%

DIS

Up 9 out of 10 past years

10-11

11-08

+5.53%

MMM

Up 9 out of 10 past years

10-11

11-08

+6.10%

BANR

Up 9 out of 10 past years

10-18

11-15

+6.77%

ARKO

Up 5 out of 5 past years

10-22

11-19

+13.57%

JBL

Up 9 out of 10 past years

10-25

11-22

+6.16%

GWW

Up 9 out of 10 past years

10-25

11-22

+8.52%

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